The surge in the number of foreign pork we are happy or worried?

The proliferation of foreign pork is a plus or minus container, loading 25 tons of pork, and the price is about two to thirty thousand US dollars. Pork containers that have crossed the ocean from the United States have become the most growth of Jiangsu Nanjing Port and Zhangjia Port in recent months. One of the fast goods. Data shows that Jiangsu, a big province of pigs, has seen a new trend in the surge in imports of “pork pork” this year.

Imports surged, but the price was far lower than our statistics according to Nanjing Customs. In the first three quarters of this year, Jiangsu imported a total of 16,000 tons of fresh, cold, and frozen pork, which was 5.9 times higher than the same period of last year. Among them, 15,000 tons were imported from the United States, an increase of 5.6 times, which accounted for 93.8% of the total import volume of pork in Jiangsu ports during the same period.

In the first seven months of this year, the monthly import volume of pork at Jiangsu Port was basically around 1,000 tons. In August, imports increased sharply to 4,319 tons, and in September, 3,835 tons. At the same time, since March, the average import price of pork in Jiangsu ports has increased month by month. In September, it was US$1,864 per ton, which was a year-on-year increase of 1.3 times and a chain growth of 3.9%.

As a big province of pigs, Jiangsu produces more than 2.5 million tons of pigs a year, which is basically self-sufficient. It is also exported to Shanghai, Zhejiang, and other places. Although it also transports live pigs from other provinces, it generally “goes out more and comes in less”. Why is there a large number of imports of "pork pork" this year?

“Now China's pork prices are significantly higher than the international market, which makes it possible to import foreign pork meat with a large profit margin.” The latest monitoring by the Provincial Agriculture Commissioner of Animal Husbandry and Veterinary Bureau shows that although the price of pork in our province has started to fall since September 5, it has been continuous After falling for two months, the current price was 27.44 yuan per kilogram; the live pig price also fell for two consecutive months, and the fall was even more pronounced. It is currently at 16.88 yuan per kilogram. However, Nanjing Customs data showed that when the Jiangsu port was the most expensive in September, the average price of imported pork to shore was equivalent to approximately RMB 12.1 per kilogram of imported pork. Even if related taxes and fees were added, it was still far below the domestic pork price.

Wang Chenglong, head of the relevant section of the Nanjing Inspection and Quarantine Bureau, said that the high cost has caused some domestic meat products companies to switch to imported pork with more competitive prices. The data from Nanjing Customs can also illustrate this point. In the first three quarters of this year, the imports of pork from Jiangsu ports were dominated by private enterprises, which imported 15,000 tons of pork, an increase of 6.8 times, accounting for 93.8% of the total imports of pork at the port of Jiangsu during the same period.

The cost of raising pigs is so unbelievable that Taixing Qingyuan Animal Husbandry Development Co., Ltd. operates a 10,000 pig farm. Zhu Linsheng, general manager of the United States, introduced a U.S. pig weighing about 100 kilograms, which was sold at a price of RMB 1,000. When the price is highest this year, a domestic 100 kg live pig will be sold for 2,000 yuan. Now the price has dropped slightly but it has remained at 1,800 yuan.

"Why American pigs are cheap? This is mainly because foreign farming costs are low, especially the cost of feed is much lower than in China." Zhu Linsheng told reporters that the United States is a major producer of corn and soybeans, and exports to China in large quantities every year. These feeds The price is high in China. Taking his own farm as an example, the live pig price is now about 18 yuan per kilogram, of which the breeding cost is nearly 14 yuan. According to statistics, the cost of live pig breeding in the United States is 8-10 yuan per kilogram. "We have a 100-kilogram live pig that can make three or four hundred yuan pure. It's not a bad thing for the average farmer to earn so much."

On the other hand, the level of foreign large-scale farming is higher than in China. "In the U.S., feed mills, farms, and processing plants are generally three-in-one, with mutual participation, each participating in 30% of the shares. When the cost of a certain link is high, it can be digested by each other to ensure that the overall price is stable." And the whole country " The pig industry has not been integrated, and the high price of the previous link has often led to a higher price for the next link. Finally, the accumulation of the high-end products to consumer terminals can only be “expensive”.

“Pork Pork” brings us multiple thoughts on the surge of “pork pork” in the big pig provinces. Is it a good thing or a bad thing?

"Although the import volume has soared, but from the current point of view, it is just a matter of "total consumption" for the province's total consumption." The relevant person of the Provincial Agriculture Commission believes that it is not terrible that “pork pork” is coming, because our province is also a big province for hog consumption, with an average of 20 kilograms per person per year. According to the province's population of 78 million, the annual consumption of live pigs is about 1.56 million tons.

In fact, the situation in which the “pork pork” entered a large number in this round is not unique to Jiangsu. And looking around the world, many pig-producing countries are now setting their sights on China. From the end of October to the beginning of November, Mexico, Finland and other countries have organized delegations to China to carry out the "pork trade trip."

In this regard, Li Guoxiang, a researcher at the Institute of Rural Development of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, believes that China’s agriculture has reached the stage where it must co-ordinate “two markets and two resources”. As the income level of residents increases, purchasing power increases, and elasticity of demand decreases. In order to stabilize the national economy and safeguard the quality of life of the common people, when there are periodic fluctuations in the pork and serious outbreaks, and there is a large gap between supply and demand, the modest import of pork is necessary.

Zhu Linsheng thought that the pork import channels were unblocked. It should give the domestic market a warning that with the increase in manpower, feed, and land costs, if the domestic management level does not keep up as quickly as possible, it is estimated that a considerable portion of imported pork will replace domestic farming in the future. , it will inevitably bring impact on domestic farmers.

Some agricultural workers believe that it is too early to make a judging report on the importation of foreign pork, but scientifically controlling imports should be put on the agenda as soon as possible. Liu Mancang, deputy director of the Forestry and Animal Husbandry Bureau of Mianning County, said in an interview with reporters that due to the low price of imported pork, the import of pork from the country has the effect of suppressing meat prices. But for the total amount of imports, there should also be a long-term consideration. "The standard of total control is to properly grasp the stable level of pork prices, so that the public can eat meat without worry, but also to maintain the interests of farmers."